49% of voters support the abolition of the Seanad, according to a new opinion poll. The survey by Red C for Paddy Power found 36% were in favour of keeping the Upper House, while 15% Don't Know.
The percentage of those who say they will vote for abolition is down 3% on a poll in June.
However, once the 'Don't Knows' are removed, this leaves 58% in support and 42% against the abolition of the Seanad.
When asked on a 10-point scale likelihood to actually go and vote in the referendum, just over half of the population say they will be certain to vote, giving a score of 10.
Paddy Power claims that likely voters are more likely to vote both in support and against the abolition, with 'Don't Know' levels declining.
Once the undecided are removed there is, however, no difference in attitude to total population - again just over 2-in-5 of likely voters moving to keep the Seanad.
Those in favour of the abolition are heavily driven by those residing in Connacht/Ulster. While Dublin is appearing very split in decision, with a 50/50 difference each way.
The poll says Fine Gael and Sinn Féin supporters are also particularly high in supporting the abolishment, while Fianna Fáil and Independents are more likely to be in against.