Advertisement

American Presidential Election: Early polls are 'virtually tied'

Voting has begun for the 2024 American Presidential election, with ballots closing as late as 1am EST on November 5th.
Molly Cantwell
Molly Cantwell

19.37 1 Nov 2024


Share this article


American Presidential Election...

American Presidential Election: Early polls are 'virtually tied'

Molly Cantwell
Molly Cantwell

19.37 1 Nov 2024


Share this article


Early polling analysis indicates the United States Presidential election is “virtually tied”.

Voting has begun for the 2024 American Presidential election, with ballots closing as late as 1am EST on November 5th.

US voters will be met with six choices for President – the major two being current Vice President Kamala Harris for the Democrat Party and former President Donald Trump for the Liberal Party.

Advertisement

On The Hard Shoulder today, Quinnipiac polling analyst and former NBC journalist Tim Malloy said the potential outcome of the vote is “hard to say”.

“There's a lot of early voting going on, which is interesting, and their mostly women [voters], which may speak to some good stuff for Kamala Harris, it’s hard to say,” he said.

“In every swing state and the national poll, we are at a statistical tie.”

Kamala Harris, Vice President, USA. Image: Phil Mistry / Alamy Stock Photo

Mr Malloy said the polling analysts try very hard to “hit it down the middle”.

“The belief now is possibly she [Kamala] is underrepresented - meaning the same way that people held their noses and didn't tell anybody they were going to vote for Trump last time, there may be a lot of women, especially, that are voting for Kamala Harris and not acknowledging it,” he said.

“The variable here is - are people telling the truth when you poll?

“And there's not much we can do about that other than trying to frame the questions in a way that we try to get a straight answer.”

'Don't screw up'

Mr Malloy said at “this point” what “the hell else” could happen “at this point”.

“We’ve had two assassination attempts, the fiasco Madison Square Garden, there is a huge Puerto Rican population which is very upset with the Republicans right now - that might be a little bit of an November surprise,” he said.

“Most people know who they're voting for … probably not much more is going to happen [before polling day].”

Mr Malloy said the job of the candidates from now on is to energise the base, “stick to what they’re saying” and “don’t screw up”.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

He also said he doesn’t believe Trump will concede as previous candidates have if he loses at the polls.

“When Hillary lost, she did the right thing - I mean, she was argumentative about it, but they said, okay, in the interest of the country, let's move on,” he said.

“I don't think that'll happen if Trump loses.

“I do think, and I'm just guessing because of historically what the Democrats have done, that maybe Kamala Harris will acknowledge, ‘yeah, that's it, okay, you've spoken’.

“It has to be a blow on from one of them for this thing to be over on election day - and that's not likely.”

'Palpable tension'

Mr Malloy said there is a “palpable sense of tension” throughout the country.

“I hate to say it but I’ve never seen it like this – we are really on a razor’s edge,” he said.

“We throw in a polling question, ‘are you concerned about the democracy collapsing?’ and 60% of Americans bipartisan agree with, ‘yeah, the bedrock of the country could fall apart’.

“Ever since January 6, there has been this looming dread of what could happen next - and I don't remember growing with that.”

Mr Malloy said people tend to “vote the party line” and that depending on who wins the election the “tipping of power” could go all the way for one party.

Listen back here:

Main image: Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump shakes hands with Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)


Share this article


Read more about

American Presidential Election Donald Trump Kamala Harris News

Most Popular