Despite Fine Gael’s call for tax cuts, support for coalition parties has not increased while Sinn Féin’s popularity has risen marginally. 

That’s according to the latest polls by the Sunday Independent and Ireland Thinks.  

Some 56% of people said last month’s tax cut call by three junior ministers would make no difference in the next general election.  

This is despite high support for the tax cuts themselves, with 59% of people in favour.  

State of the parties

Sinn Féin’s popularity is at 32% - a one-point increase compared to polls conducted in September.  

Support for Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and the Green Party all remain unchanged at 20%, 19% and 3% respectively.  

Elsewhere, the Social Democrats’ support has increased by 1% to 6%, while Labour is down one to 3%.  

Among party leaders, Social Democrats leader Holly Cairns remains the most popular at 44%, with Micheál Martin and Mary Lou McDonald behind her at 43% (unchanged) and 41% (up two points) respectively.  

Some 40% said they would support the return of the current coalition in a forced choice, while support for a Sinn Féin-led government excluding Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil is down four points to 38%. 

General election

Public support for a ‘snap’ general election fell to 18%, compared to 29% in previous polls. 

In contrast, 45% of people want to wait until 2025 to vote in a general election – an increase of 13%. Some 22% want a general election in the next six months, while 11% want an election in 2024.  

The latest the next election can take place is March 2025 with the current Dáil needing to dissolve by February 19th, 2025.