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EXPLAINER: Why Ireland's property recovery could be more painful than the crash

Carol Tallon, author of the Irish Property Buyers Handbook joined The Pat Kenny Show to...
Newstalk
Newstalk

14.10 25 Feb 2015


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EXPLAINER: Why Ireland&#39...

EXPLAINER: Why Ireland's property recovery could be more painful than the crash

Newstalk
Newstalk

14.10 25 Feb 2015


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Carol Tallon, author of the Irish Property Buyers Handbook joined The Pat Kenny Show to discuss the Irish property market - she warns that buyers face a tough few years as they wait for more supply to come on the market.

The age profile of Ireland's first-time buyers is set to change from the old norm of people buying in their late 20s - to a new situation where people will be closer to 40 when they get on the ladder.

Once people buy - it is unlikely that they will move, she says we can, "forget the concept of a starter home - it is no more" and that in the new market, "what you buy is what you are committing to."

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She adds that a new cohort of Irish people will never own a home: "Home ownership in Ireland has been seen as a right-of-passage, that is simply not the case any more."

"It's easier to stay in a bad position than to try to get into a good one."

She warns that this will be a difficult period: "The Irish economy is in a recovery - that sounds like a good thing - but actually recovery is a painful process. It can be more painful than the crash."

Ms Tallon continues: "It's easier to stay in a bad position than to try to get into a good one."

As the economy improves there will be plenty of people who are ready to buy houses - but they will also be aware that there is a shortage in the market at the moment - and that they are likely to end up paying over the odds.

These people will rent - and wait for the market to calm down.

The squeeze in supply, and the new tougher mortgage rules will have the unintended consequence of creating a spike in rent costs.

High rents will make it harder for people to save deposits.

Banks are being a lot stricter about who they lend to. Even if you save up a 10 or 20 percent deposit - lenders are wary of giving money to people who work in any industry that it views as being in anyway volatile.

Ms Tallon argues that this will be a difficult period for people - but it is good for the market in the long run:

"We can take a reasoned approach to this. Looking at the growth of new developments all around the country - we can see that there has been a massive surge in planning applications."

There has also been a 60 percent increase in the amount of building projects that are currently getting off the ground - so the price spike is temporary and the market will relax when these new properties are completed.


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